For the first time in his rather short presidency, Joe Biden's approval rating has fallen just below 50%. This is not a good time for the Democratic leader to be under that 50% mark, as presidents with approvals ratings below that typically face a major voter backlash in the midterms. While there is still plenty of time to turn it around, there are also other major factors happening right now that threaten to sink the number even further. Ring of Fire's Farron Cousins explains what's happening and why Democrats should start worrying.
Link - https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/568341-biden-approval-dips-below-50-percent-for-first-time
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*This transcript was generated by a third-party transcription software company, so please excuse any typos.
The midterms are still 15 months away at this point, but it's never too soon to start talking about them. And it's never too soon to start warning the democratic party, that things aren't looking very good for you. The latest piece of evidence is the fact that according to 5 38 average of polling president Biden has now slipped below 50% for the first time in his presidency, his relatively short presidency. Uh, but here's the thing, you know, he's at 49.3% approval rating.
So he just barely, barely slipped
Below that 50% mark.
However, and this is the most important part
Reports came out late last week before Afghanistan
Showing that Democrats were already in trouble heading into the midterms. And one of the big
Reasons for that is because Republicans get to redistrict,
Uh, or redraw more
Than double the amount of districts that Democrats get to draw ahead of the midterms. So Republicans already have gerrymandering and redistricting on their side to begin with. Then of course you have the historical models where typically the president who comes into power,
If they control the house and Senate,
Uh, they typically lose control of at least the house in the first midterm following their election. It's just a thing that happens. There are a few exceptions out there, but most of the time, this rings true. It happened to Trump. It happened to Obama.
Um, you know, so that's terrible. I happened to Clinton. Um,
So yeah, that, uh, that was already bad news for the Democrats,
But those
Reports also came with a glimmer of hope
And they said, Hey, at least Biden
Has more than 50% approval rating, which typically means he'll do well in the midterms. The Democrats will. That's what happened to George W. Bush. That's why he didn't suffer from that. Of course we were in the middle of a war on terror. America was still reeling from the events of nine 11 the year before and the 2002 midterms. So yeah, he got a little boost from that. Cause his approval rating was above 50%. Obama's was not Trump's was not. And now Biden's is not now. He has 15 months to turn this whole thing around. And when the infrastructure bill finally gets passed, and if Democrats can get that reconciliation, bill passed that three and a half trillion dollar, uh, benefit for American citizens. Suddenly we're looking at a new situation here. If we can start these investments into the American public, his approval rating will go up and Democrats may stand a better chance in the 2022 midterms. But it all comes down to whether or not they can actually deliver for the American public. By the time they go to the polls in November of 2022 voters need to have something, something physical or something they can see maybe on their way to work a new construction project, repaved roads, new bridge, bridges, whatever it is, something tangible
That they're aware of to take with them to the polls. You know, metaphorically take with them to the polls. You're not obviously going to take a bridge or a road,
But you know what I mean? They have to be able to take something with them when they go to vote so that they know, yes, the Democrats promised big things. The Democrats delivered big things. Let's see what we can get from another couple years
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